Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.898026 4.184507 4.490393 4.842773 5.239365 5.674104 6.189706
2025-05-04 3.477973 3.889330 4.357768 4.937041 5.643234 6.488595 7.596832
2025-05-11 3.167458 3.637204 4.195403 4.920197 5.856130 7.053761 8.755581
2025-05-18 2.924827 3.424585 4.037580 4.863856 5.980595 7.490288 9.790519
2025-05-25 2.702693 3.210677 3.848808 4.734069 5.974362 7.727852 10.562672
2025-06-01 2.535463 3.049810 3.709453 4.648120 6.006671 8.008830 11.435862
2025-06-08 2.428415 2.956900 3.648664 4.658453 6.169377 8.495536 12.733431
2025-06-15 2.354447 2.900940 3.630694 4.723259 6.414148 9.138769 14.450915
2025-06-22 2.216882 2.750313 3.470999 4.566325 6.296374 9.163684 15.001915
2025-06-29 2.109262 2.634607 3.352631 4.460430 6.246641 9.294179 15.791431
2025-07-06 2.018664 2.537606 3.254685 4.377015 6.223118 9.464117 16.703597
2025-07-13 1.947636 2.464336 3.186377 4.333381 6.259936 9.746907 17.945974
2025-07-20 1.914766 2.446047 3.200866 4.426834 6.552440 10.586538 20.895368
2025-07-27 1.879527 2.422934 3.207292 4.508901 6.837529 11.475324 24.434292
2025-08-03 1.822664 2.365341 3.157843 4.494239 6.942729 12.006205 27.230671
2025-08-10 1.761944 2.299155 3.091309 4.445177 6.976315 12.384253 29.760256
2025-08-17 1.690581 2.214228 2.991449 4.332002 6.873345 12.428477 31.157794
2025-08-24 1.632682 2.147205 2.916464 4.256934 6.838346 12.630706 33.305916
2025-08-31 1.597266 2.112521 2.890641 4.265964 6.973592 13.281307 37.803137
2025-09-07 1.574207 2.095474 2.891773 4.322566 7.213337 14.258751 44.809810
2025-09-14 1.512237 2.016661 2.789754 4.185404 7.026381 14.043094 45.510203
2025-09-21 1.462592 1.955379 2.714058 4.092665 6.928452 14.064807 47.662872
2025-09-28 1.419555 1.902981 2.650874 4.019507 6.866965 14.181938 50.577121